Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000691 0.000783 0.000880 0.000991 0.001112 0.001241 0.001388
2025-11-30 0.000542 0.000669 0.000813 0.000986 0.001187 0.001413 0.001685
2025-12-07 0.000462 0.000605 0.000774 0.000986 0.001242 0.001540 0.001909
2025-12-14 0.000396 0.000548 0.000734 0.000975 0.001277 0.001638 0.002099
2025-12-21 0.000343 0.000498 0.000695 0.000960 0.001301 0.001718 0.002264
2025-12-28 0.000316 0.000479 0.000692 0.000986 0.001374 0.001860 0.002505
2026-01-04 0.000289 0.000456 0.000683 0.001002 0.001432 0.001981 0.002723
2026-01-11 0.000258 0.000425 0.000657 0.000994 0.001456 0.002058 0.002885
2026-01-18 0.000230 0.000395 0.000631 0.000981 0.001472 0.002123 0.003032
2026-01-25 0.000212 0.000378 0.000621 0.000990 0.001518 0.002227 0.003231
2026-02-01 0.000195 0.000360 0.000608 0.000993 0.001554 0.002318 0.003414
2026-02-08 0.000171 0.000329 0.000574 0.000962 0.001539 0.002338 0.003500
2026-02-15 0.000150 0.000302 0.000544 0.000937 0.001532 0.002369 0.003602
2026-02-22 0.000137 0.000285 0.000529 0.000933 0.001555 0.002442 0.003764
2026-03-01 0.000125 0.000271 0.000517 0.000933 0.001582 0.002522 0.003936
2026-03-08 0.000113 0.000255 0.000500 0.000923 0.001595 0.002579 0.004077
2026-03-15 0.000101 0.000238 0.000481 0.000908 0.001599 0.002623 0.004200
2026-03-22 0.000097 0.000236 0.000486 0.000933 0.001665 0.002761 0.004461
2026-03-29 0.000092 0.000230 0.000485 0.000948 0.001715 0.002875 0.004689
2026-04-05 0.000084 0.000218 0.000471 0.000940 0.001728 0.002934 0.004836
2026-04-12 0.000076 0.000205 0.000455 0.000928 0.001733 0.002980 0.004965
2026-04-19 0.000071 0.000198 0.000452 0.000937 0.001773 0.003080 0.005176
2026-04-26 0.000066 0.000191 0.000445 0.000940 0.001803 0.003164 0.005365